Decision Desk HQ updated its election forecast, saying President Trump had a 54 percent chance of winning the White House. “The first polls close in just over 5 hours. Donald Trump has a 54% chance of winning the 2024 election according to our latest forecast,” Decision Desk HQ wrote. The first polls close in just over 5 hours. Donald Trump has a 54% chance of winning the 2024 election according to our latest forecast. Follow along with our live results tonight:https://t.co/okRRK7zROh pic.twitter.com/6yYv8OGRVH — Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 5, 2024 A closer look: More detailed breakdown: Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day Presidential Forecast: Probabilities: Trump: 54% (No change since last week) Harris: 46% Electoral College Forecast: Trump: 219 Harris: 226 Tossups: 93 Average Electoral Vote Projection: Trump: 276 Harris: 262 Tossups:… — Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 5, 2024 Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day Presidential Forecast: Probabilities: Trump: 54% (No change since last week) Harris: 46% Electoral College Forecast: Trump: 219 Harris: 226 Tossups: 93 Average Electoral Vote Projection: Trump: 276 Harris: 262 Tossups: Wisconsin: 51% Trump Pennsylvania: 54% Trump Michigan: 56% Harris Nevada: 57% Trump Georgia: 63% Trump North Carolina: 64% Trump Arizona: 64% Trump Minnesota: 76% Harris “According to our final forecast, Republicans are favored to win the Senate, with a 76% chance,” Decision Desk HQ wrote. The first polls close in less than 5 hours. According to our final forecast, Republicans are favored to win the Senate, with a 76% chance. Follow live results here tonight:https://t.co/okRRK7zROh pic.twitter.com/fHDIUHcnKR — Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 5, 2024 A closer look: More detailed breakdown: Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day Senate Forecast: Probabilities: Republicans: 76% (+5 since last week) Democrats: 24% Senate Seat Forecast: Republicans: 51 Democrats: 46 Tossups: 3 Average Seat Projection: Republicans: 53 Democrats: 47 Key Races:… — Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 5, 2024 Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day Senate Forecast: Probabilities: Republicans: 76% (+5 since last week) Democrats: 24% Senate Seat Forecast: Republicans: 51 Democrats: 46 Tossups: 3 Average Seat Projection: Republicans: 53 Democrats: 47 Key Races: Wisconsin: 58% Baldwin (D) Ohio: 61% Moreno (R) Pennsylvania: 64% Casey (D) Michigan: 66% Slotkin (D) Nevada: 72% Rosen (D) Arizona: 73% Gallego (D) Texas: 75% Cruz (R) According to Decision Desk HQ, Republicans have a 52 percent chance of retaining the House of Representatives. Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day House Forecast: Probabilities: Republicans: 52% (-1 since last week) Democrats: 48% House Seat Forecast: Republicans: 209 Democrats: 211 Tossups: 15 Average Seat Projection: Republicans: 218 Democrats: 217 Key Races:… — Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 5, 2024 Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day House Forecast: Probabilities: Republicans: 52% (-1 since last week) Democrats: 48% House Seat Forecast: Republicans: 209 Democrats: 211 Tossups: 15 Average Seat Projection: Republicans: 218 Democrats: 217 Key Races: California 47: 50% Min (D) California 27: 52% Whitesides (D) Iowa 3: 53% Nunn (R) California 41: 54% Calvert (R) Michigan 8: 54% Junge (R) California 13: 55% Duarte (R) California 45: 56% Tran (D) In related news, RealClearPolitics projected President Trump to retake the White House. RealClearPolitics: Trump Projected To Retake The White House