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51 w

At UN, leaders agree to ‘Pact for the Future’
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At UN, leaders agree to ‘Pact for the Future’

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Science Explorer
Science Explorer
51 w

Aliens May Be Doomed by Inescapable Climate Change, Study Finds
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Aliens May Be Doomed by Inescapable Climate Change, Study Finds

An inevitable evolutionary fate?
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Science Explorer
51 w

This Stunning Crystal Could Preserve The Human Genome For Billions of Years
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This Stunning Crystal Could Preserve The Human Genome For Billions of Years

A doorway to forever.
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Classic Rock Lovers
Classic Rock Lovers  
51 w

Did Eddie Van Halen illegally record ‘5150’?
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Did Eddie Van Halen illegally record ‘5150’?

An overlooked anecdote. The post Did Eddie Van Halen illegally record ‘5150’? first appeared on Far Out Magazine.
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51 w

Teamsters Expose Fatal Harris Weakness
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Teamsters Expose Fatal Harris Weakness

When Teamsters President Sean O’Brien announced that his union would not endorse any presidential candidate in 2024, the Democrats echoed the rest of the unions in their howls of outrage. Even the Teamsters’ vice-president, John Palmer, accused O’Brien of pandering to the membership — which voted 58-31 in favor of endorsing former President Trump. They actually believe that breaking people down into “values-based typologies” … is actually going to produce useful information. It isn’t clear who Palmer thinks he represents, but the implications for the campaign of Vice President Kamala Harris are obvious. She is the first Democratic presidential nominee in decades to be snubbed by the Teamsters and it reveals a lethal weakness in her working class support. According to the most recent New York Times/Siena College survey, Harris trails Trump by 36 points among white working class voters. As Ruy Teixeira pointed out last month at the Liberal Patriot, this means she is doing worse among these voters than either of Trump’s previous two Democratic opponents. Joe Biden lost them by 26 points in 2020 and Hillary Clinton lost them by 27 points in 2016. Harris does lead Trump among non-white working class voters by 24 points, according to the NYT/Siena poll. Yet Biden won these voters by 48 points in 2020 and Clinton won them by 60 points in 2016. All of this suggests that Harris is badly underperforming among working-class voters regardless of their race. But what about the much ballyhooed advantage enjoyed by Democrats among college-educated voters? Harris does fare better than Trump among these voters according to most polls. Her problem is that there just aren’t enough of them. According to an April study by Pew Research, “Voters who do not have a four-year degree make up a 60 percent majority of all registered voters.” And the study contains even more bad news for her: “By nearly two-to-one (63% vs. 33%), white voters without a bachelor’s degree associate with the Republican Party.” This is particularly dangerous for Harris in the blue wall states. Why? These three states are the whitest of all the battleground states, as Ronald Brownstein writes at CNN: Whites account for about three-fourths of the population in Michigan and Pennsylvania and roughly four-fifths in Wisconsin. Although their Latino communities are growing, Blacks remain the largest minority group in each of them. The three states are also slightly older than the nation overall, with seniors accounting for about one-fifth of the population in each. None have many immigrants, with residents born abroad accounting for only about 7 percent of the population in Michigan and Pennsylvania and just 5 percent in Wisconsin. That the population of these states is older than the rest of the country compounds Harris’s working class problem. Seniors have long voted in higher proportions than any other age group, and their numbers are steadily increasing. Moreover, according to a recent survey conducted by Retirement Living, their top concern matches that of working class voters — the rising cost of living. The NYT/Siena poll shows Harris trailing Trump 50-44 among voters 65 and older. This is why Harris has been falsely claiming that Trump plans to cut Social Security and Medicare. He has not, of course, made any such proposal. Indeed, as the New York Post reports, Trump wants to eliminate the tax seniors now pay on their Social Security income. This is of a piece with Trump’s proposal to eliminate federal taxes on tips, which he unveiled on June 9 during a Nevada rally. According to a report by AP, the proposal would affect millions of working class Americans: “The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates there are 2.24 million waiters and waitresses across the country, with tips making up a large percentage of their income.” Harris Pilfers Trump’s Proposal Trump’s proposal caught the Democrats flatfooted, and the corporate media produced a plethora of absurd opinion pieces claiming the tax cut would harm its beneficiaries. Then, Harris “fixed” the problem by stealing the idea. Meanwhile, according to an NBC News report, the Democrats are working on a “nuanced” definition for “working class”: The effort started with an attempt to better understand the working class of the 21st century by creating a more nuanced definition of the demographic and breaking it down into seven values-based typologies. Those categories were based on a battery of 40 questions put to more than 5,000 participants in surveys conducted with HIT Strategies, a Democratic research firm … The report sorted people into seven subtypes, each of roughly equal size, arranged on the ideological spectrum from “Next Gen Left” to “Core MAGA.” No, this is not a gag from The Babylon Bee. This, with the 2024 presidential election looming on the horizon, is how the Democratic Party of Kamala Harris is approaching an existential threat. This is how those “highly educated elites,” about whom we have heard so much, approach a very real problem instead of gathering a group of working stiffs together and asking a simple question like, “Please explain what we’re doing that pisses you off so much?” They actually believe that breaking people down into “values-based typologies” and arranging them “on the ideological spectrum” is actually going to produce useful information. What it is likely to produce is a Democratic defeat in November — if there is no skullduggery. Like Other Elites, Teamster Leaders Ignore Rank and File This brings us back to the Teamsters and the following question: If the rank-and-file members voted overwhelmingly to endorse Donald Trump, why didn’t Sean O’Brien and the union board do so? For the same reason the Biden-Harris administration ignores the will of the people with regard to illegal immigration, energy policy, foreign policy, domestic crime, the economy, ad infinitum. O’Brien doesn’t represent the membership. He simply adopted a position that allowed him to avoid being tarred and feathered. Our rulers in the swamp believe they are better insulated from the whims of the hoi polloi. But they blundered when they chose Kamala Harris to be their sock puppet. So, there is one final chance to restore the republic. READ MORE from David Catron: The Most Important Question Harris Can’t Answer Harris Will Defeat Herself During Debate The post Teamsters Expose Fatal Harris Weakness appeared first on The American Spectator | USA News and Politics.
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51 w

The World, Israel, and Our Diplomacy of Dunces
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The World, Israel, and Our Diplomacy of Dunces

Early in his term as Obama’s first secretary of state, John Kerry said something like, “Well, we’re not all fools here you know.” Kerry’s statement was amusing but incorrect. Kerry’s fools brought us Obama’s nuclear weapons deal with Iran and more. Under Biden and Harris, we are beset by the diplomacy of dunces. We should be congratulating the Israelis for fighting our fight. But, instead, we’re still pressuring them to give in to their enemies. Vice President Harris wants to do more than double down on that sort of diplomacy. Her platform, from which she has not stepped an inch away, objects to the fact that we’re spending about 13 times as much on defense as diplomacy, and promises to slash defense spending to increase diplomacy and other “urgent” domestic priorities, whatever they are. The great difference between defense and diplomatic spending reflects their relative values. Where are we on the diplomacy Harris is so fond of? China’s aggression in the South China Sea is unabated, Russia is committing another 150,000 troops to its war in Ukraine, and too many of our NATO “allies” are once again refusing to invest in their own defense. Germany, in particular, had promised massive new defense spending which hasn’t happened and won’t. And then there’s the Hamas war on Israel which is approaching its first anniversary,  October 7. Harris said, in an interview with black journalists last week, that the Gaza War has to end soon and a cease-fire deal reached including the release of Hamas’s hostages. Secretary of State Tony Blinken went to Cairo last week and repeated the diplomats’ prayer that a cease-fire would be the best way to stop Middle East violence from spreading. Blinkey said, “We all know that a ceasefire is the best chance to tackle the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, to address risks to regional stability.” He is, as usual, comprehensively wrong. Israel, having been attacked by Hamas, attacked the Gaza Strip in order to destroy Hamas’s ability to repeat the October 7 attack. It hasn’t done so yet, given the fact that Hamas’s chief terrorist, Yayah Sinwar, is still alive and the forces he commands are still fighting. The humanitarian crisis in Gaza is primarily caused by Hamas stealing the relief shipments of food and medical supplies. But never will Hamas hear a discouraging word from Harris or Blinken or our other so-called diplomats. Meanwhile, back in the real world, Israel performed the slickest intel op since Commander Joe Rochefort’s team broke the Japanese codes before the Battle of Midway. Israeli intel operators detonated thousands of Hizballah pagers and, a day later, hundreds of their walkie-talkie radios. It should come as no surprise that the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon was injured when his pager exploded. Iranian control of Hizballah is as old as Hizballah. So what are the Israelis doing to get their (and our) hostages back? About two weeks ago, they offered Sinwar safe conduct out of Gaza in return for the release of the hostages. That is a huge concession given the fact that Israel, and Prime Minister Netanyahu, have vowed to kill Sinwar. Just what else do our “diplomats” want the Israelis to do? Of course, the Israeli offer was turned down. Sinwar is reportedly trying to escape to Tehran and wants to take some of the hostages with him. Israeli leaders have warned U.S. officials that they may begin a large attack on Lebanon to disable its forces which have been launching hundreds of missiles at Israeli civilians, about 8,000 since October 7. In response our empty suit of a defense secretary, Lloyd Austin, again pushed for a “diplomatic solution” to the problem. Which is far beyond our diplomats’ skills. Our diplo-dummies are proposing a solution to the Israel-Hizballah war: land swaps. Never mind the fact that Israel doesn’t want an inch of Lebanon and that Hizballah wants all of Israel. Hizballah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, published an open letter describing its doctrine in 1985 in the Arab newspaper Al Safir. In it, he proclaimed that Hizballah follows the orders of Iran’s Ayatollah Khomeini (now succeeded by Ayatollah Khamenei). Part of that letter says, “Therefore our struggle will end only when this entity [Israel] is obliterated. We recognize no treaty with it, no cease fire, and no peace agreements, whether separate or consolidated.” Do our so-called diplomats even research the subjects they opine on? Their ignorance of the world and how it works is both tragic and astonishing. According to a Wall Street Journal report, even U.S. officials have — anonymously of course — said that they don’t believe that any cease-fire deal can be reached between Israel and Hamas until Biden’s presidency ends in January. But, according to the same report, that conclusion won’t stop Biden and Harris (and Blinken and Sullivan, who are really running our foreign policy) from continuing to pressure Israel to reach an agreement. Israel Kills Enemies of US Israel, in its airstrikes so far, has managed to kill a number of Hizballah’s top commanders in Lebanon. Included among them was Ibrahim Aqil, who has been wanted by the U.S. for his help in perpetrating the 1983 bombing of the Marine barracks in Beirut which killed 241 Americans, including 220 Marines. We should be congratulating the Israelis for fighting our fight. But, instead, we’re still pressuring them to give in to their enemies. The diplomacy of dunces will continue at least until both Biden and Harris are out of office. Its “successes” mean an end to the U.S. strategy of deterrence. For Heaven’s sake, we can’t — despite our massive naval presence near the Red Sea — even deter the Houthis from attacking shipping there. We are no longer an ally that any nation — especially Israel — can count on. The end of American deterrence is a license for Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea to do as they please both regionally and beyond. The “Pax Americana” — the American peace — which has held the world together since World War II is over. Biden’s weakness will beget Harris’s weakness if she is elected in November. Former president Trump might — and probably would — try to restore our deterrence if he is elected. A good friend of mine told me about a month ago that he believes we’d survive a Harris presidency. I’m not at all sure that we or our allies can. READ MORE from Jed Babbin: ABC News Blew It. Crime Is Up. Our Response to Hamas’ Murder of Hersh Goldberg-Polin The post The World, Israel, and Our Diplomacy of Dunces appeared first on The American Spectator | USA News and Politics.
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51 w

Why Is Kamala Still Losing?
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Why Is Kamala Still Losing?

Nobody wants Kamala Harris to win this election more than do her celebrity media friends, who are willing to forfeit their credibility to drag her across the finish line. ABC News, whose blatantly one-sided “fact-checking” during Harris’s debate with Donald Trump was widely criticized, has seen its ratings tumble in the aftermath. What’s remarkable is not just the absolute shamelessness of the media’s pro-Democrat bias — they’re so far in the tank for her, their “news coverage” is just an endless campaign ad for Harris — but the fact that it doesn’t seem to be helping. The one story they’re not reporting is the most important of all: Kamala Harris is losing this election. The process by which Kamala obtained the nomination was decidedly un-democratic, and then the party … spent weeks hiding the candidate from media curiosity. Don’t take my word for it. Go look at where Harris stands in the polls today, and then compare her numbers to what the polls showed for Joe Biden on the same day in his 2020 race against Trump, and for Hillary Clinton in her 2016 race against Trump. In both of those previous two elections, most polls were slanted in favor of the Democratic candidates, so that Trump did better in the final official vote tallies than he did in the polls. This track record of error in favor of Democrats provides the proverbial “grain of salt” with which everyone should consume public polling. Fortunately, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and the rest of the crew at RealClearPolitics (RCP) have made it easy for anyone to compare current presidential poll numbers to those in 2020 and 2016. These comparisons show Harris to be underperforming Biden and Clinton to such an extent that a Trump victory in November is the most likely outcome. As of Sunday morning, the RCP average of national polls showed Harris leading Trump by 1.9 points, but four years ago on the same day, Biden led Trump by 6.6 points in the RCP average, meaning that Harris is underperforming Biden by 4.7 points and guess what? In the final official tally of 2020, Biden won by 4.5 points, with 51.3 percent to Trump’s 46.8 percent. In other words, if polls have the same predictive value now as they did in 2020, Trump would actually win the popular vote by a slender margin over Harris. (After I did the above calculation, NBC News published a poll done by Hart Research Associates and Public Opinion Strategies showing Harris ahead by five points, which moved her lead in the RCP average to 2.2 points. However, the comparison factor was scarcely changed, since an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll from mid-September 2020, done by the same firms, had Biden ahead by eight points.) Now do the same comparison with polls from the 2016 election. On September 22, 2016, the RCP average had Hillary Clinton leading Trump by 2.6 points, and what happened on Election Day 2016? Although Hillary won the national popular vote by a 2.1-point margin, she got beat by Trump in several key states — notably Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — so that Trump won 304 Electoral College voters to Clinton’s 227. And when you consider that Harris’s current 1.9-point lead over Trump is less than the margin by which Hillary led at this point in the campaign four years ago, it’s easily possible that Trump could once again get more than 300 Electoral College votes this November. The same phenomenon — Harris underperforming Biden and Clinton — can be documented not only in terms of poll averages, but also doing apples-to-apples comparisons of results from individual pollsters. For example, the latest Reuters/Ipsos national poll, conducted September 11-12 (i.e., immediately after the September 10 debate), had Harris leading Trump by a margin of five points, 47 percent to 42 percent. However, in September 2020, Reuters/Ipsos had Biden leading by nine points, 50 percent to 41 percent, meaning that Harris is underperforming Biden by four points, according to the same polling operation. And, keep in mind, Biden’s official final popular-vote margin was just 4.5 points, a result that had many key states decided by much smaller margins (officially, I hasten to add, for the benefit of all who doubt the legend of Biden’s 81 million votes). What about the battleground states that will ultimately decide the Electoral College winner? Take a look at Wisconsin, one of the previously “blue” Democratic strongholds that Trump won in 2016 — shocking Hillary Clinton, who hadn’t even bothered to make a campaign appearance in the state — but which Biden won in 2020 by a razor-thin margin of barely 20,000 votes (less than 1 percent). The current RCP average of Wisconsin polls has Harris leading by one point and guess what? Four years ago — September 22, 2020 — the RCP average had Biden leading by 6.4 points in Wisconsin and, on the same date in 2016, the RCP average had Hillary ahead by 4.7 points in Wisconsin. To repeat the caveat I’ve stated before, if the predictive value of polls is the same now as it was in the two most recent presidential elections, Kamala Harris is on track to lose Wisconsin, and lose it by a significantly larger margin than Hillary Clinton did in 2016. Similar calculations could be made for Pennsylvania, Michigan, and other battleground states, with the same result. Trump will win those states, perhaps with margins large enough that no amount of “ballot-harvesting” shenanigans by Democrats can prevent Harris from suffering a defeat even worse than Clinton’s 2016 loss. This is, as I say, the most important story of the campaign, and one the major media organizations refuse to report, even though any of them could do the same thing I’ve done, using the tools provide by RealClearPolitics to compare poll numbers and demonstrate how significantly Harris is underperforming compared to Biden in 2020 and Clinton in 2016. If any of them did such reporting, they could not avoid the conclusion that Kamala is losing this election, but since they won’t report this, they cannot even begin to answer the question of why she’s losing — which should be equally obvious. To start with, Biden’s victory in 2020 was certainly no landslide, no “mandate” repudiating Trump. Even if you accept the final official totals (which most Republican voters still don’t), Biden’s election was the result of his winning by razor-thin margins in five states — Arizona (10,457 votes, 0.3 percent), Georgia (11,729 votes, 0.2 percent), Michigan (154,188 votes, 2.78 percent), Pennsylvania (80,555 voters, 1.2 percent) and Wisconsin (20,682 voters, 0.6 percent) — that Trump had won four years earlier. Flip the four states with the thinnest margins to Trump, and he wins. Out of more than 150 million votes cast in 2020, then, the election was ultimately decided by a margin of 123,423 votes in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Despite the narrowness of Biden’s victory — and, as I say, most Republicans still don’t believe Sleepy Joe actually got 81 million votes — the Democrats acted as if they had beaten Trump by the kind of sweeping landslide that Ronald Reagan beat Walter Mondale by in 1984. Biden and his congressional allies swiftly acted to reverse every key Trump policy, and to implement an agenda nearly as ambitious as LBJ’s “Great Society” crusade in the 1960s. In many ways, what Biden did in 2021-2022 resembled the similar mistakes made by Bill Clinton and Barack Obama in their first two years in the White House, with a Democrat-controlled Congress to rubber-stamp their policies and a news media singing hosannas of praise for their “bold” leadership, until voters had their say in the next midterm election and took away the congressional rubber stamp. Every Democratic president makes this mistake — misinterpreting their election as a mandate for radicalism — precisely because the media are so in-the-tank for Democrats. Any Republican president can expect to be hectored, harassed and investigated by the news media, condemned as a hard-hearted villain for trying to do anything remotely conservative policy-wise, and so whatever tendency to overreach a Republican might have, the implacable hostility of the D.C. press corps tends to put the brakes on GOP hubris. Joe Biden had no such opposition from the media, who consulted their thesauruses seeking new synonyms for “courage” to celebrate Biden’s policy agenda. Because the media had spent the previous four years in a fever of Trump Derangement Syndrome, they viewed Biden as a sort of messiah, the heaven-sent source of political salvation, and his presence in the White House was hailed by his journalistic devotees with quasi-religious reverence. With the Washington press corps singing his praises, Biden went from one policy disaster to another. Ruinous inflation took hold as a Congress controlled by Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer rammed through huge deficit-spending measures that pumped trillions of devalued dollars into the economy. Arguably the biggest lie of Biden’s administration was naming one of these omnibus spending packages “The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022,” which had the exact opposite effect announced in the title and was, as Biden himself has since admitted, mostly about enacting a “green energy” agenda. Kamala Harris cast the tie-breaking vote in the Senate to pass that bill, and therefore cannot claim she played no part in wrecking the finances of millions of Americans who suffered as a result of Biden’s misguided policies. Harris has furthermore claimed to have played a key role in another of Biden’s disasters, as “the last person in the room” when he made the decision on the botched U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, a decision that went against the advice of key military leaders. Thirteen U.S. troops were killed in that catastrophic bungle, which handed more than $7 billion in American military equipment to the Taliban. As if these economic and foreign policy mistakes were not sufficient to confirm Barack Obama’s judgment of Biden’s ineptitude (“Don’t underestimate Joe’s ability to f–k things up”), then there was the matter of immigration. Here, Biden seems to have assumed that he had a mandate to do the exact opposite of what Trump had done. Whereas Trump had made “build the wall” his signature campaign promise of securing the southern border, Biden threw open the floodgates for an unprecedented influx of illegal immigration. The result is that the foreign-born population (both legal and illegal) is now grown to more than 50 million (more than 15 percent of the total U.S. population), a historic record both in total numbers and percentage, and continues increasing at a rate of about 2.5 million annually, according to Census Bureau data analyzed by Steven A. Camarota of the Center for Immigration Studies. As with Biden’s economic and foreign-policy blunders, Kamala Harris is directly implicated in the immigration disaster, having been appointed “border czar” by Biden in March 2021 (a reality that Harris and her media sycophants have striven to “fact check” out of existence). The Biden administration’s policies are unpopular, and despite her attempts to disown her share in the woes of the past three-and-a-half years — with the slogan “A New Way Forward” — Harris is up to her neck in blame. Then there is the problem that Roger Kimball calls “the supreme oddity of Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign,” i.e., exactly how she became the Democratic Party’s nominee. Despite his advanced age, 81-year-old Biden insisted he was capable of serving a second term as Commander-in-Chief, a belief he refused to abandon after his cognitive decline was exposed in the June 27 debate. For the next 24 days, while Biden and his closest henchpeople (including Harris) kept telling everybody that he was continuing his campaign and was confident of victory in November, the polls showed him headed to certain defeat. Finally, on July 21, Biden announced he would quit the campaign and anointed Harris to replace him on the ballot. Exactly why and how this happened is a story that probably won’t be fully told until after Election Day, but this candidate switcheroo by the Democrats was decidedly irregular. It was, as every political commentator acknowledged at the time, unprecedented in American history. Democrats held a “virtual roll call” prior to their convention, making the switcheroo official and thus ensuring that there could be no floor challenge to Harris as the party’s nominee. Nothing quite like this had ever happened before, and the top-down imposition of Harris as the candidate was done by the same party that had spent years claiming that Trump must be defeated (indeed, must be sent to prison!) because he posed an existential threat to “our democracy.” What kind of democracy is it, where party insiders force the incumbent to quit his reelection bid and then pick a substitute candidate who never got a single primary vote for president? The process by which Kamala obtained the nomination was decidedly un-democratic, and then the party which claims to be fighting on behalf of “our democracy” spent weeks hiding the candidate from media curiosity. She didn’t do a single interview until a late August hug-fest with CNN, in which she was accompanied by her running mate Tim Walz. Even in that ultra-friendly environment, Harris proved evasive and incoherent, giving non-answers to whatever actual policy questions were asked. This evasive pattern continued in the September 10 debate. Asked about the economy, Harris began her reply: “So, I was raised as a middle-class kid. And I am actually the only person on this stage who has a plan that is about lifting up the middle class and working people of America. I believe in the ambition, the aspirations, the dreams of the American people. And that is why I imagine and have actually a plan to build what I call an opportunity economy.” Later in the debate, when Harris was asked to explain her obvious policy flipflops, she reiterated her latest policy stance — she will NOT ban fracking, and never mind her saying the exact opposite a few years ago — before returning to her personal narrative: “As it relates to my values, let me tell you, I grew up a middle class kid raised by a hard-working mother who worked and saved and was able to buy our first home when I was a teenager.” Kamala’s habit of not giving real answers to important questions is easily mocked, as in the headline at the Babylon Bee satire site: “‘I Was Born Into A Middle Class Family,’ Explains Wife When Husband Asks Why The Car Is On Fire.” It’s easy to see why her handlers are eager to keep her away from the news media when, even in the softball context of an Oprah Winfrey interview, Harris served up a smorgasbord of word salad, an all-you-can-eat buffet of embarrassing incoherence. She is a bad candidate, defending a bad policy agenda and yet, we are told that Kamala Harris is winning. In reporting their latest poll Sunday, NBC News headlined it thus: “Poll: Newly popular Harris builds momentum, challenging Trump for the mantle of change.” Barely six weeks remain until Election Day, so we won’t have long to wait and see how “newly popular” Harris actually is. Maybe the in-the-tank news media can fool enough people to turn their own hopes into reality. But they don’t fool me, they probably don’t fool you, and something more than a hunch — a diligent inquiry into the predictive value of polling — tells me they probably can’t fool enough of our fellow Americans to push the “momentum” of Kamala Harris to 270 Electoral College votes. What if my calculations are wrong? What will I say, if November 5 turns into a landslide for Kamala? No problem. I’ve got my explanation ready: “I was born into a middle-class family …” READ MORE from Robert Stacy McCain: America’s Sydney Sweeney Crisis America’s ‘Social Justice’ Nightmares Have Only Intensified   The post Why Is Kamala Still Losing? appeared first on The American Spectator | USA News and Politics.
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Supporting the Hamas Fantasy of Israel’s Destruction
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Supporting the Hamas Fantasy of Israel’s Destruction

Continuing its one-sided approach to the IDF-Hamas war, the New York Times published an article that provides the most upbeat assessment of Hamas’ situation, “After Surviving Israel’s Onslaught, Hamas Plans Its Future in Gaza.”  Rather than pushing back on the claims made by Hamas, its author Adam Sasgon tries as much as possible to verify them.   Hamas has been devastated and … it is likely that it will never be able to regain anything close to its former military power. Referencing a two-hour interview with its senior official Khaled Mishal, Rasgon noted that Hamas believes it has the upper hand, is winning the war, and has no reason to change their cease-fire demands.  He then suggests that at least in the shortrun, these beliefs are valid, quoting a West Bank journalist: “If the war ends now, it would be a victory for Hamas.”  Strengthening this claim, Sasgon interviews Maj Gen. Gadi Shamni. Israel “is losing the war in a big way,” he claims.  “While it is undeniable that Israel has devastated Hama’s military capabilities, Hamas has retaken towns in ’15 minutes’ of Israeli withdrawals.” Sasgon does note that many Gazans are critical of its October 7th action. However, he doesn’t push back on Mishal’s claim that it is only a small minority who now reject Hamas.  Instead, Sasgon asserts that the October 7 action gave “Israel a pretext to wage a massive bombing campaign that has reduced cities to rubble.”  Notice his choice of the word “pretext,” suggesting that Israel always desired the destruction of Gaza.  This shows a shocking bias.  After all, since the war has begun, one of the main criticisms made of Israeli governments is that they believed Hamas could be bought off — allowing Qatar funding — and instead focusing on the West Bank’s potential for unrest.  This was why they were so unprepared for the Hamas attack. Sasgon’s bias, however, goes much deeper.  He doesn’t explain why the IDF leadership and Defense Minister Gallant are desiring a ceasefire now, willing to make substantial concessions beyond those made by Netanyahu.  Instead of quoting any of these military leaders, he quotes Shamni: someone who is more than a decade retired from the military and more than two decades since he had command in Gaza. And why hasn’t Hamas accepted a favorable ceasefire since, if it believes that if the war ended now, it would be victorious?  The answer is that while Hamas can retake control of areas, what does that get them.  As has been happening, the IDF often returns easily killing more Hamas members. But more importantly, Hamas doesn’t want to be responsible for civilian matters.  Indeed, Sasgon notes that Hamas is willing to give up control of “civilian matters but its military wing and intelligence forces were off limits.”  A main problem with this Hamas fantasy is: Who is going to fund the rebuilding of Gaza and allow Hamas free reign to focus on its military goals.  Given the drastic need for rebuilding, would any Arab country, save Iran, or any Western government allow Hamas to siphon off material to rebuild its tunnel complex and gain weapons from abroad?  But what is most telling is the actual surveys of Gazans that Sasgon chooses not to include. Initial reports emphasized that Gazans were in strong support of the Hamas attack as evidence of their seemingly rejoicing when captives were paraded through the streets, but by December support softened: only slightly over half of Gazans supported the October 7th attack or Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. March 2024 results seemed to show support was growing, with now 70 percent supporting October 7th.   However, these results were manipulated by Hamas.  Captured documents indicated that the actual tabulation found only 31 percent supported October 7th. Similarly, the actual support for Sinwar declined to 22 percent. Moreover, as the war continued and the devastation persisted, Gazans become even more hostile to Hamas. Mahmoud Mushtata, a writer for the pro-Palestinian +972 Magazine reported: As the war has dragged on, displays of public opposition to or criticism of Hamas have grown among Palestinians in Gaza. Many accuse Hamas of failing to anticipate the ferocity of Israel’s response to the October 7 attacks, and hold the group partially accountable for the dire consequences they are now facing.  Mushtata referenced a recent poll by the Institute for Social and Economic Progress, an independent Palestinian research organization, that found less than 5 percent of Gazans want Hamas to rule in a post-war transition government. Nearly 85 percent of Gazans oppose Sinwar.  The New York Times, like other liberal publications, has never been willing to accept Israel’s position that a complete destruction of Hamas’ military infrastructure was necessary and feasible.  To forestall this, critiques understated IDF successes and tried to forestall its invasion of the Rafah area; an invasion that destroyed the last four Hamas battalions, the tunnels to Egypt along the Philadelphi corridor, and enabled the IDF to gain control of the Rafah crossing, limiting Hamas’ ability to pilfer entering relief aid.  The governing of Gaza after a permanent ceasefire is unknown.  However, it should be clear that the U.S. and many allies are working to find a solution that minimizes if not totally eliminates Hamas’ ability to gain influence or reestablish its military presence.  They will not allow Gaza to be turned into a Lebanon where a military organization (Hezbollah) operates with total immunity from government control.  Moreover, Hamas has been devastated and because anti-Hamas governments control the rebuilding purse strings, it is likely that it will never be able to regain anything close to its former military power.  Thus, the only thing that Sasgon’s article accomplished was to enable anti-Israel forces to sustain their hope for victory, which for them means a one-state solution and the elimination of Israel.  READ MORE from Robert Cherry: Would a Harris Presidency Help Blacks? Al Aqsa Mosque: New York Times Ignores History Robert Cherry is an American Enterprise Institute affiliate and author of the forthcoming book, Arab Citizens of Israel: How Far Have They Come? The post Supporting the Hamas Fantasy of Israel’s Destruction appeared first on The American Spectator | USA News and Politics.
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Venice Is Still in Good Hands — With Detective Guido Brunetti and His Team
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Venice Is Still in Good Hands — With Detective Guido Brunetti and His Team

A Refiner’s Fire: A Commissario Guido Brunetti Mystery (The Commissario Guido Brunetti Mysteries, 33) By Donna Leon (Atlantic Monthly Press, 288 pages, $22.00) Donna Leon’s 33rd installment of her immensely popular Commissario (detective inspector) Guido Brunetti series shows that at 82 she still has a literary fastball. And that she knows how to keep series characters fresh and alive. The plot in Refiner’s is complex, suspenseful, well-paced, and believable. Through her able and literate creation, Guido, Leon still beguiles, amuses, and sometimes gives us an insight into that vanity fair that is the human enterprise, like good literature always has. She’s one of the handful of writers in the crime/ mystery/detective section of the book store who are way more than mere genre writers offering up a few hours diversion from the day-to-day frustrations of real life. (READ MORE from Larry Thornberry: A Mystery Author’s Memoirs Are Appropriately Mysterious) Guido’s patch is Venice. This would be Italy, not Florida. Gondolas, not golf carts. A water-bound world that New Jersey native Leon loved so much on first visiting that she made it her home for 30 years. She knows from Venice. And she’s brought this unique city and those who sail in her to life for millions of readers, beginning with Guido’s first case, 1992’s Death in La Fenice. All of the Brunetti novels are still in print.    A few years back, mostly in search of anonymity and to escape Venice’s pollution and flood of tourists, Leon moved to a small village in Switzerland. This must have given her a severe case of cultural whiplash, leaving loosey-goosey Italy for uber-orderly Switzerland.            Most adults realize that all large organizations — including police and military ones — are self-protecting bureaucracies. Those in high positions in these are at least as concerned, too often much more concerned, with the organization’s public image and the effect this has on next year’s budget than they are in the stated mission. Leon explores this verity in A Refiner’s Fire. Guido’s Venice Police Department is no exception to this melancholy truth. Nor is the Carabinieri, a police/military mix that probably makes no sense outside of Italy. Squalid butt-covering by these two agencies enables a sordid and violent criminal enterprise that Guido, with his colleagues Commissario Claudia Griffoni, and the team’s researcher and computer whiz nonpareil, Signorino Elettra, have to sort, at considerable risk to their careers and persons. It all starts in the wee hours of a spring morning when two gangs of juveniles engage in a non-lethal but noisy dust-up in public. Pushing, shoving, name-calling, minor fisticuffs, and a lot of male strutting and posturing. Dreary stuff. Police break it up, arrest the mini-gladiators, who are promptly released to their parents. Save for a 16 year-old boy, one Orlando Monforte, who says he’s afraid to notify his father (with good reason as it turns out). So Griffoni volunteers to walk him home. This act of kindness does not go unpunished. Shortly after this unremarkable event, a cheesy lawyer with a history of even cheesier clients and tactics, presents himself in Guido’s office. He claims to represent a client making the preposterous claim that Griffoni, a lovely woman who could have her pick of adult men, had made sexual advances at young Orlando. This turns out to be a head-fake to divert police attention from a criminal enterprise headed up by Orlando’s father, Dario, and from a case of made-up valor. Dario Monforte had been known in Italy as a hero. For home consumption he had risked his own life to save comrades during a bombing of the Italian compound in Iraq. The truth of his actions that night, and of the weeks leading up to it, were far less noble than this official version, and the Carabinieri’s incompetence would have been embarrassing if revealed. Thus the faux hero, whose behavior does not improve when he returns to Italy. (READ MORE: The Road Well Traveled: Exploring the History of Literary Journeys) The plot in Refiner’s is complex, suspenseful, well-paced, and believable. Guido and his team solve the sorry business and bring it to a literally fiery ending. But while the plot is properly satisfying, and keeps readers guessing to the end, this story, like all of Leon’s work, is character-driven. The rich, always diverting, and finely-drawn characters being Guido, his wife Paola, and Griffoni, who we learn more about in this episode. If I have a tiny nit to pick with Leon, it’s that I’d hope she would either use fewer Italian words and phrases in her stories or provide a glossary. Some of these words and phrases are hard to determine, even from context, whether they are names of people, places, organizations, or food items. But this has not been too much of an obstacle to my reading pleasure. It probably hasn’t hobbled many others either. For those who share my addiction to detective fiction but have not sampled Donna Leon’s work, I recommend adding her to the list of writers to turn to when indulging your habit. Long-standing fans of Leon’s work, which includes me, look forward to Guido #34.   The post Venice Is Still in Good Hands — With Detective Guido Brunetti and His Team appeared first on The American Spectator | USA News and Politics.
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The History of Communism Must Not Be Repeated
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The History of Communism Must Not Be Repeated

To Overthrow the World: The Rise and Fall and Rise of Communism By Sean McMeekin (Basic Books, 544 pages, $27) “Political power” — Communist political power — does, as Chairman Mao said, grow “out of the barrel of a gun.” Historian Sean McMeekin’s latest book, To Overthrow the World: The Rise and Fall and Rise of Communism, vividly recounts this violent history, as it played out on the world stage through propaganda, the exacerbation of crises, provocation of civil wars, and, finally, putsches. The publisher is to be commended for giving us this work of real scholarship about a subject that has become dominated by Communist sympathizers. As he writes in the early pages, “The real secret of Marxism-Leninism, as the reigning doctrine of Communism was called after 1917, was not that Marx and Lenin had discovered an immutable law of history driven by ever-intensifying ‘class struggle,’ but that Lenin had shown how Communist revolutionaries could exploit the devastation of war to seize power by force.” Communism Through the Years The 500-page volume expands on the material in Richard Pipes’ slim classic, Communism: A History, published nearly a quarter of a century ago. Unlike Pipes, McMeekin is not sanguine about Communism’s end after the fall of the Berlin Wall. Having witnessed Communism’s persistence over the past few decades, McMeekin tackles new sources to provide original insights and buttress existing knowledge. After briefly recounting the origins of communistic thought among the ancients and early Christians, McMeekin turns to Jean-Jacques Rousseau and Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel, who are often lumped together in a simplistic mantra of “Rousseau, Hegel, and Marx.” Rousseau, however, “was not, quite, a Communist.” It was actually Étienne-Gabriel Morelly’s “critique of social inequality” in his Code of Nature that was “made into dogma by Soviet academics” and inspired the French socialist tradition, through François-Noël Babeuf, guillotined in 1797, after his failed putsch. Babeuf’s co-conspirator Philippe Buonarroti’s “memoir-history” memorializing Babeuf’s “Conspiracy for Equality,” sold over 50,000 copies. Hegel (1770-1831), the second member of the trio did, indeed, influence Marx. However, Hegel channeled Rousseau’s “’general will’ in a more conservative direction,” McMeekin explains. Marx latched onto Hegel’s idea of a dialectical process, but inverted Hegel’s view of Christian historical progression as the “consciousness of freedom” that ushered in “the modern concept of ‘equality before the law’ and the ‘rights of person and property.’” Marx denigrated religion as “opium of the people.” (READ MORE from Mary Grabar: Black Anti-Communists Have Been Memory–Holed) Although Marx’s “Theses on Feuerbach” (1845) criticized “’the philosophers’” for having “’only interpreted the world,’” and not changed it, Marx himself “came to believe in Communism …  not out of real-world experience, but by applying the Hegelian dialectic to his historical studies (mostly of the French Revolution).” Nor was Marx concerned about the working class. In 1845, during his first trip to Manchester and London with his patron Friedrich Engels, he lobbed charges of “ignorance” at a tailor. His emphasis on the primacy of doctrine arose from the belief that workers lacked intellectual sophistication. Marx is the Marxist revolutionary prototype: a self-deluded, isolated “intellectual” with contempt for others. But Marx’s seeming ability to simplify Hegel and turn a pithy phrase, along with lucky timing — his Communist Manifesto was sent to the printers in February 1848, “just days before Paris erupted once again in revolution” — led to its success. The original German was translated into French that spring, and then into English in 1850, followed by translations in all the main European languages. It has remained in print ever since. Similarly, although the thesis in Capital (“about the ever-diminishing bargaining power of labor and the accumulation of capital in fewer and fewer hands”) was “demolished” over the next few decades, Marx’s vague moral critique — “’expropriators are expropriated’” — was “hypnotic,” and his prophecy of “’revolution in France’” seemed to be fulfilled in the 1871 Paris Commune. Communism, in spite of whiplash-inducing shifts by party leaders, could not tolerate criticism, such as that by Mikhail Bakunin, who questioned the “’dictatorial power of this learned minority, which supposedly expresses the will of the people,’” and Eduard Bernstein, who pointed out in Neue Zeit (1896-1898) that farmers did not want collectivization. But organizations, such as the International Working Men’s Association that Marx created and then killed off, were turned into legends to inspire future generations. Communists infiltrated and subverted reform parties and unions time and again. Deceit and old-fashioned violence were the keys to revolutionary success. In 1905, revolutionary instigators capitalized on the Japanese victory over Russia. “Vladimir Ulyanov Lenin of the ‘Bolshevik,’ or majority faction, and Julius Martov of the ‘Menshevik,’ or minority, faction — were in exile when Cossacks and Imperial Guard troops fired into a massive crowd in St. Petersburg on ‘Bloody Sunday,’ January 22, 1905, killing 200 people and wounding another 800.” Lenin and Martov returned in November 1905 — “after most of the revolutionary drama had played out.” Among the younger activists making “hay on the ground” were Joseph Stalin, “a rough-and-ready Georgian activist who organized a Bolshevik Battle Squad in Baku, and Leon Trotsky, a twenty-six-year-old Menshevik firebrand from Kherson, Ukraine.” Marxist revolutionaries claimed credit for a spontaneous labor walkout in September that shut down the country’s communications. But the resulting first-ever Russian parliament (Duma) and labor unions did not fit with the revolutionaries’ aims. The “outbreak of war in August 1914,” however, provided the opportunity for Lenin to transform “’the imperialist war into civil war’” and bring down the government, as Marx prophesied. (READ MORE: FDR and the Democrats’ Unmatched Undemocratic Ways) Tsar Nicholas’s error of abdicating to his brother Michael, instead of sticking to original orders with loyalist soldiers after violence broke out on International Women’s Day, 1917, aided the effort. Germany was also eager to help Lenin. Swiss socialist Fritz Platten coordinated Lenin’s trip home from Switzerland and with the Germans “released a cover story, parroted by credulous journalists (and repeated to this day by incurious historians), that Lenin’s train car was ‘sealed’ and would not open its doors while crossing Germany, satisfying ‘extraterritoriality’ requirements, enabling Lenin to deny that Germans had organized his trip.” German funds also allowed Lenin to buy a printing press to print notices encouraging soldiers and sailors to mutiny, and other propagandistic material. Another strategic error came from Russia’s provisional government leader, Alexander Kerensky: he falsely believed and accused his general Lavr Kornilov of treason, and lost the support of loyal troops. After winning victory over the Kerensky government and the Mensheviks and Socialist Revolutionaries, the Bolsheviks created the “’the Soviet of People’s Commissars’” and abolished “’private ownership of land,’ granted amnesty to Bolshevik prisoners, and ended Russia’s war against the Central Powers.” Soon came censorship, collectivization, purges, starvation, arrest, imprisonment, forced labor, execution, and cruelties against all class enemies down to children. Such horrors are often glossed over in other histories, but McMeekin does not glance away. Covering the reign of terror from Russia, Eastern European satellites, Spain, China, Africa, Cuba, Central and South America, and Indonesia, he then draws attention to 1970s Cambodia, under China-educated Pol Pot. The objective of creating the “‘perfect communist country’” (Pol Pot’s “‘year zero’ ambition”) meant, as an escapee recounted, “no schools, no money, no communications, no books, no courts” and constant surveillance. McMeekin describes a veritable Land of the Living Dead: “free-willed humans” reduced “to animals, enslaved by robotic, heavily armed children who had themselves been deprived of any kind of genuine education, human warmth, or feeling.” Yet, many Westerners presented it as part of the “general tragedy of Indochina.” Reporter Sydney Schanberg, who first broke the story only in 1980, called Cambodia “’a surrogate Cold War battlefield.’” In 2018, Max Hastings, in Vietnam: An Epic Tragedy, 1945-1975, claimed that “the U.S. and North Vietnam shared responsibility for the tragedy that engulfed Cambodia.” Communism Survives By the final decade of the Cold War, Western journalists were more interested in the “spheres of international competition such as the Olympics, the arms race, and the convening of [Soviet-sponsored] ‘peace congresses’ and ‘nuclear freeze’ demonstrations.” Communists continued to disregard the well-being of their people, as evidenced by the doping of Olympic athletes and the persecution of Jews, followed by their “selling” for a bounty to Western governments. The implosion of the Soviet Union resulted from its governmental and economic system, and Gorbachev’s Kerensky-like bad military decisions — but critically from President Reagan’s outmaneuvering the Soviets with military buildup, encouragement of oil production by Saudi Arabia, and support for the anti-Soviet Afghan forces. But in China, Cuba, North Korea, Vietnam, and Laos, Communist parties continue to rule. China today illustrates the fact that business investments do not change the essential reality of state control of “the means of production.” Western trade has strengthened China’s military power — just as American business investments in 1930s Russia helped arm Stalin for his future conquests. Kirkus Review’s claim that McMeekin is retreading the ground covered by Pipes and Archie Brown’s The Rise and Fall of Communism (2009) is without merit. McMeekin’s reading of new German, Russian, and English-language sources — published and archival — uncovers much new information. For example, about the much-vaunted “Patriotic War,” Stalin was not “surprised” by Hitler’s “betrayal” in June 1941. Like Hitler, Stalin had stepped up war preparations to the point where he had a five-to-one advantage in tanks, seven-to-one in warplanes, and an even greater one in artillery. Yet, the German Luftwaffe nearly destroyed the Soviet air force on the ground. What was Stalin’s response (besides demanding help from Roosevelt)? To have Red Army soldiers shot for being captured (as about 300,000 Red Army soldiers were during the course of the war), and their wives and children sent to gulags. The great “Patriotic War” was won at the cost of 30 million dead, with half being civilians, and, crucially, with the limitless gifts of Lend-Lease, including enriched uranium and other materials used in Stalin’s atomic bomb program. McMeekin also provides little-known facts, such as the longtime persecution of Jews; ongoing collaboration with fascist leaders, such as the selling of arms to Franco (used against American volunteers of the “Abraham Lincoln Brigade,” some 500 of whom were executed by the Soviets); Yugoslav dictator Marshal Tito’s Stalin-like crimes. McMeekin also documents Winston Churchill’s and Roosevelt’s codification of slave labor at Yalta; Churchill’s abandonment of Draža Mihailović for Tito and his shameful invitation to Tito to visit London in 1953; Stalin’s machinations in China, which included helping the Japanese defeat Chiang’s Nationalists; Khrushchev’s denunciation of Stalin in 1956 for crimes against fellow Communists; and the promotion of “socialist feminism” for “soft-power appeal.” McMeekin rightly notes that the “heady moments” of 1989 and 1991 gave false promise “that the fall of Communism would usher in an era of greater civil liberties and freedoms worldwide.” Instead, as the Covid pandemic showed, most of the Western world is willing to follow “a hybrid Chinese Communist model of statist governance and social life,” with “Communist-Chinese-style surveillance.” I would add another aspect: the use of violence to provoke civil war and to silence opposition. Since establishing headquarters in New York City in 1919, Communists have been trying to stoke a war between white Americans and black Americans. They began in the 1920s by proposing a black nation in the American South, which they promoted during the 1930s Depression years and 1960s Black Power years. Black Lives Matter is openly Marxist. Antifa, a Marxist organization pretending to be “antifascist” (as did past Communists!) is often permitted by government forces to terrorize one party. China is funding violent protests and pro-China curricula. The vice presidential candidate on the Democratic ticket has disturbing ties to China. McMeekin warns about the continuing appeal of Communism, with promises of “social justice” for young idealists, and, for politicians, “an all-encompassing state granting them vast power over their subjects.” The publisher is to be commended for giving us this work of real scholarship about a subject that has become dominated by Communist sympathizers. To Overthrow the World is the kind of book that should be on everyone’s bookshelf. You will turn to it again and again.   The post The History of Communism Must Not Be Repeated appeared first on The American Spectator | USA News and Politics.
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