Former President Trump on Sunday overtook Vice President Harris for the first time in the Decision Desk HQ/The Hill election forecast this cycle. The model predicts Trump has a 52 percent chance of winning the presidency while Harris has a 42 percent chance, as of Sunday. Since late August, the election forecast put Harris’s chances of winning at approximately 54 to 56 percent, with Trump’s chances at approximately 44 to 46 percent. In early October, however...

The man who may call the winner of the 2024 presidential election is ready to make a prediction for at least when the news will come. “The over/under is Saturday,” said Arnon Mishkin, the head of Fox News’ decision desk. “Which was when the call was made last time.” In an interview with POLITICO Magazine at the News Corp. building in Midtown Manhattan, Mishkin said that he plans on calling the election as soon as he can, but that a protracted vote count means it may take a few...

His campaign’s snapshot of swing-state polling points to warning signs beneath the surface. The Trump campaign released a polling memo on October 13 contending that he was ahead by two points in the seven swing states. A close read of what the memo said — and didn’t say — nonetheless shows that the race still hangs by a thread. The memo was authored by campaign chiefs Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita and polling maestro Tony Fabrizio. It argues that their polling shows that...

Both presidential candidates appeared on Fox News on Oct. 16 — former President Donald Trump in a town hall with women voters in Georgia and Vice President Kamala Harris in an interview with Bret Baier. We fact-checked their remarks, and we found: Trump inflated the U.S. troop presence in South Korea and falsely claimed that as president “I made them [South Korea] pay” the cost of those troops and that because of President Joe Biden, “they don’t pay anymore.” Trump’s negotiations over cost-...

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump are carrying out a virtual house-to-house hunt for the final few voters who are still up for grabs, guided by months of painstaking research about these elusive Americans. Inside the Delaware headquarters of Ms. Harris’s campaign, analysts have spent 18 months curating a list of which television shows and podcasts voters consume in the battleground states. Her team has assigned every voter in these states a “contactability...

The Iranian-backed Hezbollah fired a drone this weekend at the home of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The assassination attempt failed, but Netanyahu said he and Israel would not be deterred from their goals of stopping the Hezbollah and Iranian threats to the Jewish state.  Iran has denied it tried to kill Netanyahu at his home in Caesarea, but someone certainly made an effort. Israel Defense Forces Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari stated, "This morning three...

Abortion has overtaken immigration to become the second most important issue for voters heading into the 2024 election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, Newsweek polling suggests. Over the past 16 months, a series of polls conducted byRedfield & Wilton Strategies ahead of the November 5 election asked participants: "Which issues are most likely to determine how you vote in the November 2024 Presidential Election? You may select up to three." Only four...

Key rightwing legal groups with ties to Donald Trump and his allies have banked millions of dollars from conservative foundations and filed multiple lawsuits challenging voting rules in swing states that are already sowing distrust of election processes and pushing dangerous conspiracy theories, election watchdogs warn. They also warn that the groups appear to be laying the groundwork for a concerted challenge to the result of November’s presidential election if Trump is defeated...

A new era of drumming. The post Phil Collins’ proudest drum break: “Nobody had ever heard anything like that” first appeared on Far Out Magazine.

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