Foreign Affairs India Is Positioning Itself Between Blocs Multipolarity means there are no certain “friends” for the U.S. Credit: image via Shutterstock The United States’ struggle to preserve the unipolar world slipped another step back when India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi met the People’s Republic of China’s President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the 2024 BRICS summit. India and China’s already strained relationship strained even more in 2020 when 20 Indian troops and four Chinese troops were killed in hand-to-hand combat along their disputed border in the Galwan Valley of the Western Himalayas. The U.S. has long exploited the animosity between the world’s two largest countries, using India as a counterbalance to China, containing the PRC and driving a wedge between it and the Global South. In America’s geopolitical battle to maintain a U.S.-led unipolar world over a multipolar system preferred by Russia and China, India is the giant with one foot in each world. The world’s second-largest nation’s choice of sides will determine whether the unipolar world survives or evolution favors multipolarity. But what the U.S. struggles to see—to the detriment of its own foreign policy and its own self-interest—is that India, and much of the Global South, no longer sees itself as having to make a choice between blocs. The choice of a multipolar world means not having to choose sides. In his book, The India Way, India’s foreign minister, S. Jaishankar, explains that multipolarity means that countries can deal “with contesting parties at the same time with optimal results” for their “own self-interest.”  While recently the relationship between India and the U.S. has continued to improve, so has the relationship between India and Russia. India is a member of the U.S. led QUAD, whose purpose is to contain and deflate China, while also being a member of the Russian- and Chinese-led BRICS and SCO, whose purpose is to counterbalance American hegemony in a unipolar world. India has refused to join the U.S.-led sanctions on Russia. Since the war, Russia has climbed from India’s 18th-largest trading partner to its fourth and its largest supplier of oil.  While the U.S. has fought against that multipolar trend and tried to drive a wedge between India and China, Russia has seen itself as a mediator between its two friends both in BRICS and in the core RIC formation of Russia, India and China that first formed in 1998. Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov has noted that part of the role of RIC is “in promoting trust and confidence between India and China.” Mediation and multipolarity took a decisive step forward over divisiveness and unipolarity when Modi met Xi on the sidelines of the BRICS summit. It was their first official high-level bilateral meeting in almost five years. The meeting came just two days after China and India reached an agreement to deescalate the tensions on their disputed Himalayan border. The agreement led to the “resolution of the issues that had arisen in these areas in 2020.” Stressing the importance of the meeting both for the two countries and for the world, Modi said, “Met President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Kazan BRICS Summit. India-China relations are important for the people of our countries, and for regional and global peace and stability. Mutual trust, mutual respect and mutual sensitivity will guide bilateral relations.” Xi agreed, saying that “China and India are both… important members of the global south” and their meeting “best serves the fundamental interests of our two countries and peoples.” Xi then added, “It’s also important for both sides to shoulder our international responsibility, set an example for boosting the strength and unity of developing countries and to contribute to promoting multi-polarization and democracy in international relations.” In addition to the significance of the seismic shift in Indian-Chinese relations, there is also symbolic significance in India and China recognizing Russia’s mediation by holding their historic meeting in Russia. The thawing relations between India and China signifies another step in the world’s transformation from U.S. hegemony and unipolarity to the emerging, new multipolarity. The post India Is Positioning Itself Between Blocs appeared first on The American Conservative.

Foreign Affairs The U.S. Must Allow Japanese Independence Japan’s subservience to Washington isn’t just wrong—it is dangerous. Credit: image via Shutterstock Washington has no greater friend in the world than Japan—or so the political establishments in both the United States and Tokyo would like to believe. Not everyone is playing along, though. Kan Ito, a graduate of the University of Tokyo and a well-known public intellectual in Japan, has been the bête noire of America’s Japan-hands—the imperial factotums who keep Japan subservient to Washington’s strategic interests. Ito’s articulate, pungent criticism of American foreign policy often exposes inconvenient truths about U.S.-Japan relations, truths based on Ito’s more than 30 years in America. Ito has worked mostly in Washington D.C. as a foreign policy analyst and critic and has published five books in Japanese on international politics. His foreign policy view is defensive realism. He admires George Kennan, Kenneth Waltz, Samuel Huntington, and John Mearsheimer. His philosophical views are Platonist and Kantian, and he deeply respects conservative American thinkers like Irving Babbitt, T. S. Eliot, and Reinhold Niebuhr. None of this endears him to the Washington-worshiping foreign policy inner circles in his home country. Ito also has inconvenient truths to share with Americans. He thinks that the United States has been disintegrating due to moral degradation since the 1960s. He also finds that post-Cold War unipolar hegemonism—which masquerades, in his opinion, as “idealistic liberal internationalism” and “democracy promotion”—have been ruinous for the American character. In this interview with The American Conservative, Ito explains why he thinks American hegemonism, the very bedrock of Japan’s postwar political order, has been unwise and misguided, and why Japan needs to pursue its own independent foreign and defense policies. TAC: How do you see the American presidential election and U.S. politics? Ito: I often wonder whether American civilization has entered a period of unproductive strife and long-term disintegration. American people do not seem to share common values or standards any more. Can a people without a common culture and common values function steadily and purposefully? I doubt it. Today’s America often looks like a perennially bickering dysfunctional family. The moral foundation that Americans once held in common has gone. In its place is postmodernism, heedlessly imported during the past half century. But postmodernism has degraded the intellectual life of America. There are no more religious or philosophical standards in the U.S. upon which to build steady, stable value judgments. Instead, we now have strident hyper-liberalism, wokeism, petulant feminism and LGBTQ-ism, the squelching of dissent, and deformity of the intellect. Gender studies, ethnic studies, history, psychology, education, sociology, and other such fields in American universities have been completely politicized. These academic fields are not intellectually productive anymore. We have lost classical humanity and erudite culture in the higher educational institutions. I think it will be very difficult to restore thoughtfulness and sanity in the U.S. media and politics. TAC: The United States remains strong geopolitically, though, especially in East Asia. Ito: Oh yes, indeed. The U.S. does have an imposing, intimidating military establishment, and it can always “win” various wars as long as those last for short durations. The U.S. can even “govern and enlighten” defeated countries for a year or two. But after the initial short period of showy successes, the U.S. military and diplomats almost always fail to win the hearts and minds of the conquered people. For the past 70 years, American military interventions have been mostly failures. U.S.-engineered coups d’etat in various democratic countries have simply produced embittered local populations. Moreover, after the end of the Cold War, the frequency of American military interventions has jumped. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, the American foreign policy establishment—especially its bellicose neocons and powerful Israel lobby—became giddy with their imperial power. They have shown remarkable hubris, amorality, and short-sightedness. Has that behavior made the U.S. a more trustworthy ally for Japan and Europe? I doubt it. What is needed in the current world is the restoration of a stable balance of power. We don’t need American unipolar hegemonism. For the past 500 years, we usually had five or six great powers in the world system. Wise, judicious balance-of-power policies could keep these great powers in check. But today, we have a very unstable balance of power structure. China and the U.S. have been acting as offensive hegemons, while the restored, post-Soviet Russia has been a defensive hegemon. (The ongoing Russian invasion of the eastern part of Ukraine is a defensive reaction to the threatening, intimidating NATO expansion scheme of the Bush/Obama/Biden administrations. Wise, thoughtful Americans like Kennan, Waltz, and Huntington opposed the NATO expansion scheme.) The current U.S. foreign policy is not judicious balance-of-power politics. It has destabilizing effects on the world, and it may instigate a tragic world war. We need a more stable, less confrontational multipolar world system which will restrain offensive hegemons like the U.S. and China. The Chinese and Russians believe that America is in decline. With the growing interest payment on the U.S. national debt—a yearly bill which is already bigger than the U.S. military expenditure—and the massive growth of mandatory non-discretionary spending, the U.S. is unable to increase its defense spending as rapidly as China. Calculated in purchasing power parity, the Chinese will surely attain the largest military expenditure in the world within several years. Therefore, all Beijing has to do is to wait while American hegemony gets weaker and weaker, more and more unstable, and more irritable and fractious. China is on pace to become, by 2035, the world’s biggest exporter of high-tech goods, and by mid-century, or perhaps earlier, China will have the most powerful military in the world. The Chinese believe that the Americans will give up on the intensifying geopolitical competition and simply retreat from various geopolitical theaters one by one. I expect that the U.S. will be gone from East Asia by the early or mid-2040s. At that point, I guess, Japan will go from being a timorous, obedient vassal state of America to one of China. In order to avoid such a tragic fate, I think Japan needs to construct its own nuclear deterrence. Of course, the U.S. government—which nuked hundreds of thousands of defenseless Japanese women and children not just once, but twice—is eager to prevent the emergence of an independent Japan with its own nuclear deterrence capabilities. Aha, such is the “benevolent” behavior of hypocritical U.S. hegemony. No wonder so many Global South nations nowadays chuckle at the hypocrisy of “American idealism” and “American human-rights diplomacy.” TAC: You have spoken highly of Republican vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance. What is about him that you find compelling? Ito: Vance seems to have real Christian values. I think his Catholic faith can help restore some moral fiber to America. I don’t think Vance is a shallow, simplistic, sanctimonious Christian like Mike Pence and Mike Johnson. I myself do not subscribe to any particular religion, but I am sympathetic to Catholic teaching. The United States was (at least nominally) a Christian country until the 1950s, but various Supreme Court decisions expelled Christianity from public life and schools. That was a big mistake. It weakened the moral consciousness of America. I do believe that every child in the US (and Japan) should be taught the basic tenets of Christianity, Buddhism, and classical Greek and Latin humanism. Even if most children would not believe any of it, it is still very useful to acquire basic knowledge of classical religions and philosophy, because fashionable pop psychology and political ideologies do not nurture in people a deep moral sensibility. In general, Christianity and Buddhism take a dim view of human beings in the sense that everyone is presumed to be a sinner and born with original sin (or with amoral, untamed desires and libidos). The humanism of Rousseau and the progressivism and pragmatism of the 19th and 20th centuries were, by contrast, optimistic about human nature. I think we need to recognize human beings’ innate limitations, self-deceptions, cognitive dissonance, self-righteous hypocrisy, and hubris. Why have we so casually discarded the noble teachings of Buddha, Socrates, Plato, and Jesus? That was suicidal stupidity! If J.D. Vance and Catholic thinkers around him are plotting to restore religious (or classical) teaching in America, I welcome it wholeheartedly. Postmodernism, wokeism, materialism, hedonism, neocon jingoism, and many other ills have poisoned America. Let’s restore some sanity to our society and politics. TAC: You have often said that Japan is a vassal state of Washington. Can the U.S.-Japan alliance continue into the foreseeable future? Ito: The U.S.-Japan alliance is not a normal alliance. It has never been a real, genuine, honest alliance. It is a “Double Containment Alliance” to control and utilize defeated Japan as an American vassal. The U.S. has absolutely no intention to make Japan a normal, secure, independent country. In the late 1940s and early ’50s, Americans like John Foster Dulles openly talked about this double containment policy. “Keep Germans down, Americans in, and Russians out” was their German policy, and “Keep Japanese down, Americans in, and Russians (or Chinese) out” was their Japan policy. The U.S. wanted to use a “contained Japan” for its policy of “Soviet containment.” Therefore, it was called a double containment alliance. The US government had no intention to make Japan a real sovereign country. (President Eisenhower, however, was an exception; he didn’t like self-righteous, overbearing American hegemonism. But he was a rather isolated figure among the haughty, domineering military–industrial complex, against which he warned.) Even after the end of the Cold War, the U.S. government insisted on keeping this double containment policy. If you google “1992 Defense Planning Guidance,” you will find hundreds of thousands of hits about this post-Cold War American hegemonist grand strategy. This classified document (which was leaked to the U.S. media in March 1992) clearly stated that the U.S. would prevent Japan and Germany from regaining real independence after the demise of the Soviet Union. Since then, the hegemony-obsessed U.S. government has been repeating its counterproductive military interventions all around the world, causing millions of unnecessary deaths among innocent civilians. Therefore, the majority of the nations in the world nowadays dislike and distrust American foreign policy. Currently, three hostile countries surrounding Japan—China, North Korea, and Russia—are rapidly strengthening their nuclear-war fighting capability. But the U.S. government, which wants to maintain its selfish double containment policy against Japan, has been adamant to prevent Japan’s own nuclear deterrence, even though the U.S. knows that its extended nuclear deterrence (the so-called nuclear umbrella) will not function in the event of an East Asian nuclear-war crisis. The U.S. government has absolutely no intention to engage in nuclear wars with the three nuclear powers of Russia, North Korea, or China in order to protect a dependent, subservient vassal state like Japan. This immoral, unjust American policy toward Japan must end. It is unfair and evil that the U.S., which has already committed two nuclear war crimes (nuclear genocide) against innocent women and children, thinks it is acceptable to keep Japan deliberately vulnerable to the nuclear threats of Russia, China, and North Korea. By deliberately keeping the Japanese people vulnerable, the U.S. government has shown its true colors: the purveyors of a selfish, hypocritical, mean-spirited hegemonism. Fortunately for Japan, Donald Trump does not subscribe to this immoral double containment policy. He repeatedly stated that Japan should become an independent country, with its own nuclear deterrence if necessary. (As president, Trump several times urged the late prime minister Shinzo Abe to make Japan a sovereign, independent country.) Unlike the hypocritical American foreign policy establishment, Trump has no interest in sustaining America’s unipolar hegemonism. In spite of his big mouth and habitual boastfulness, he is actually neither warlike nor imperialistic. A strange fellow, Mr. Trump. In 1967, Eisenhower advised then-presidential candidate Richard Nixon that Japan should be made independent with its own nuclear deterrence. Nixon accepted this advice. Unfortunately, Japan’s then-prime minister, Eisaku Sato, a small-minded, timorous, obtuse nincompoop, could not understand why Eisenhower and Nixon advised Japan to regain its independence. The second Trump presidency will be perhaps the last chance for Japan to regain its independence. The Japanese people must not fail to take it. For ordinary Americans, a nuclear-armed Japan—which will counterbalance nuclear-armed China, Russia, and North Korea—will be clearly beneficial. The American deep state wants to keep Japan insecure and vulnerable, but such an immoral, evil policy is not in the interests of ordinary Americans. The overwhelming majority of Americans do not want to get involved in foreign wars, especially nuclear wars, for the sake of a slavishly dependent vassal like Japan. It is time for the spineless Japanese politicians and bureaucrats to show real resolve and maturity, and to regain their independence and integrity. Otherwise, Japan will be absorbed into the Chinese Imperium—which would be the end of Japan as a nation. The post The U.S. Must Allow Japanese Independence appeared first on The American Conservative.

Politics The Slow Death of the Predictive Wizards Election forecasting is undergoing a sea change, but public perceptions have not kept up. oters fill out mail-in ballots at the Board of Elections office in the Allegheny County Office Building on November 3, 2022 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Swensen/Getty Images) Shortly before I voted on Tuesday, I gazed at my inbox and spied a gem: “The election could come down to this email.”What sweeping technological change has occurred in the nearly quarter century since hanging chads and butterfly ballots were all the rage. For months, I have been receiving emails that this or that candidate is OUT of the race unless I donate immediately. Joe Biden, Barack Obama, and Nancy Pelosi “appear” on email threads that demand my immediate attention. Kamala Harris needs me!  When I observed on social media that Donald Trump often says in his video fundraising solicitations that people should only donate if they can afford to, I received an angry response. That was my takeaway from a video in which he, quelle surprise, launches several attacks on Harris that a Democratic voter might find unfair? What about January 6? Well, I don’t know. I thought it a bit off-brand for Trump to tell prospective donors they should feed their families before they kick in money to his campaign. I also wondered if it might tell us something interesting about the type of people giving money to the Trump campaign, the small donors the GOP has become more dependent on in recent years, rather than a character reference for the former president, much less an unqualified endorsement of everything he has ever said or done. Everyone has spent the past few months indulging in the parlor game of trying to predict who will win the election. There are betting markets and models and aggregates that purport to tell you down to 0.1 percentage point who is up and who is down. The polling industry has had its problems the past few election cycles, though I think the polling miss in the midterm elections is a bit exaggerated. In a bizarro 2016, a national Republican plurality wasn’t distributed efficiently enough to maximize the party’s gains in the House, and GOP candidates blew a few close Senate races that were made to appear closer because of a spate of Republican-aligned polls. I was one of those people who thought there was going to be a red wave two years ago. But I never expected very many Republicans to win by a lot; I expected a lot of Republicans to win by a little. A wave election is really when a solid majority of the close races break one way, not necessarily a repeat of Richard Nixon or Ronald Reagan’s 49-state landslides, which are not really possible in the current political climate. What happened instead was that there were seven competitive races that were going to decide control of the Senate. The six that were decided on Election Day split down the middle while the seventh went to a runoff. Democrats won that runoff for a four-to-three advantage, nudging the Senate from a tie broken by the vice president to a pure 51-49 Democratic majority. Which under Senate rules is still somewhat less than functional control of the chamber for most pieces of legislation. People are rather angry that the public polls, with the notable exception of Iowa’s Ann Selzer, and big election forecasters all converged on a more or less toss-up election. This is herding, they cried. Or perhaps it’s just what happens in a deeply polarized country when a billion dollars in ads pummel seven or so states for months at a time trying to drive up each candidate’s negatives to the stratosphere.  It’s possible that, if people were more interested in accuracy and accountability for their models and less interested in hedging or posterior-covering, we would get better models. (Though I suspect that is really only true if we paid for them, which is why everyone is always really looking for tidbits from selectively released private polls conducted by people with real skin in the game.) The reality is that the market for these things outside of campaigns is partisans who want evidence their side is going to win, which can always be found in the type of close elections we have mostly had since 2000, plus a few political junkies. The likelihood is that becoming take-committed would lead more forecasters to dupe their readers rather than build more reliable models. It would also increase public skepticism of the election results when they differ from their most trusted predictions. Some of this data simply has limited predictive value. The best local sports journalists root for the home team, but are not such homers that they will sell you on a Super Bowl title for a team more likely to go 2-15. Maybe that will happen in partisan political journalism too, but my model gives it less than a 50-50 chance. The post The Slow Death of the Predictive Wizards appeared first on The American Conservative.

Trump Secures North Carolina, Boosting Path to White House

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UTL COMMENT:- YES THIS IS AN AD FOR RED LIGHT CANCER THERAPY....BUT RECENTLY I HAVE BEEN INVESTIGATING CANCER TREATMENTS AND UPLOADING ANYTHING NEW THAT I CAN FIND.......BECAUSE THERE IS CURRENTLY A MASSIVE BOOM IN CANCERS WORLDWIDE (I WONDER WHY....?) AND I WANT TO HELP PEOPLE......THERE IS SOME INTERESTING INFO IN HERE.... Jonathan Otto of MyRedLight.com discusses a powerful healing therapy that Gov't and Big Pharma have been desperately trying to hide because studies have shown how powerful it is in healing Cancers and Chronic Diseases! The world needs to know the truth that fake history has concealed. WATCH Old World Order, and find out more at: https://stewpeters.com/owo/ Become an SPN member to gain access to exclusive content and unlock premiere benefits, including personal interactions with Stew, VIP event tickets, and live giveaways.https://stewpeters.locals.com/ Check out the Stew Peters Store for all things Stew Crew merchandise and more! https://spnstore.com/ These loyal and courageous sponsors chose to stand with us despite the cancel culture backlash. Support their bravery below: Energized Health’s deep-cell hydration is the key to curing chronic pain, inflammation, and weight gain. To find out more, visit: https://www.energizedhealth.com Cortez Wealth Management makes financial planning for you and your family. Find out how you can rely on this America First financial advisory and get your retirement plan today by calling 813-448-3446 or by visiting https://cortezwm.com Don’t miss his segments Scriptures and Wallstreet on the Stew Peters Network Thursdays and Saturdays @5 pm est. Red light therapy is scientifically proven to prevent and beat cancer, autoimmune disease, thyroid disease, arthritis, dementia, and tinnitus while achieving great results with weight loss, wrinkles, acne, and stem cell regeneration. Watch medical journalist Jonathan Otto's free training and get the best at-home red light therapy devices at the lowest prices. Go to: www.myredlight.com and use the promo code STEW10 for an additional 10% off your order! Please support your child’s natural immunity as we send them back into the school year with Z-Spike Gummies and use code SPN for buy one get one 15% off at: www.zstacklife.com/spn Head to https://bioptimizers.com/stewpeters and use promo code stewpeters to get your MassZymes with 10% off. Your future self will thank you! Want to know if your smartphone is truly secure? Join me at their free webinar: “Hidden Signs Your Phone is Compromised” by visiting https://abovephone.com/stewpeters/ to reserve your spot. Space is limited, so don’t wait! November 19th at 2 PM CST,60 minutes will change your life, and it is 100% free. Watch this Trailer https://cloud.above.run/f/754c0a64fa1a4f588c3b/?dl=1 and then spread the word. Can't make it live? Register anyway, and we'll send you the recording. Don’t miss your chance to own this one-of-a-kind Holocaust encyclopedia. You can get yours by visiting http://holocaustencyclopedia.com/ or at https://armreg.co.uk/product/holocaust-encyclopedia/ using promo code “stewlikesbooks” for 15% off your order.

David Straight. CPS (Child Prostitution Services) Source: Lina - ICE: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/b7jcf6GCuZkB

Spain destroyed more than 256 dams between 2021 and 2022, "to restore the natural course of rivers.....in order to comply with UN Agenda 2030. But no, the flooding is a result of "climate change" ????? This is happening all over Europe. This has caused flooding in the agricultural area of ​​Spain and will increase food prices even more. and of course food shortages will occur. something that the United Nations, the WEF and the NWO also want. Whoever controls the food, controls the people. They want the big companies to take over food production, who then work together with the government. The ultimate goal is to make everyone dependent on the government, that the people accept a digital ID and then the social credit system is introduced. UTL COMMENT:- No-one, I repeat no-one could ever tell me that this wasn't planned!!!! They knew EXACTLY what they were doing!!!!!! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Source: "mijnnaamisrepelsteeltje" https://old.bitchute.com/video/4XnXsnNQajaW/

THE WHITE RABBIT - AUSTRALIAN GOVTS UNCONSCIONABLE CONDUCT UTL COMMENT:- People of the world we need to forget our political differences (the Left-Right paradigm) and do what's BEST for your country!! Not what's left or right! We need to unite together as one or we have no chance, the very reason they are trying so hard to keep us divided arguing over trivial nonsense. With thanks to THE WHITE RABBIT:- https://rumble.com/user/THEWHITERABBITAUSTRALIA